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Keeping an Eye on the Middle

Keeping an Eye on the Middle

Real estate prices have been rising wildly across the region. What will the current median price buy in the borough where you want to live?

A one-bedroom co-op on the 23rd floor at 400 East 56th Street, at First Avenue, has city views to the west.
Credit…Coldwell Banker Warburg

C. J. Hughes

After an initial downturn at the beginning of the pandemic, the housing market in the New York region has seen price gains in the double digits on co-ops, condos and houses in the last couple of years.

The reasons for the run-up were many. Covid significantly disrupted the usual patterns of buying and selling homes, which sharply crimped supply. But there was also a pent-up demand for homes outside the city, and some buyers were able to use the savings they had been stockpiling to make such a move. It took longer, but the sale and rental markets in New York City have come roaring back to match or surpass prepandemic levels.

To look at the real estate market in New York City in the clearest light, the appraisal firm Miller Samuel tracked median prices for the last two years, revealing where the median settled in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared with those from 2020 and 2019.

“The median gives a more realistic, less volatile and steadier indicator,” said Greg Heym, the chief economist of the brokerage Brown Harris Stevens, who added that it can be best understood like a median line on a highway: a midpoint measurement that divides prices right down the middle. “It doesn’t care how high the highest sale is.”

And because median prices are lower than average prices these days, he said, focusing there can perhaps give buyers a bit of hope. “They may realize that they can find something that is relatively affordable, compared with what they always read, which is about multi-million-dollar apartments,” Mr. Heym said.

Median home prices in all five boroughs

$800 thousand

20%

600

15

Price by quarter

Year-to-year change

400

10

200

5

2020

2019

2020

2021

2019

2021

$800 thousand

20%

600

15

400

10

200

5

2019

2020

2021

2019

2020

2021

Source: Miller Samuel/Douglas Elliman

Take a look at the homes that are available at or close to the median prices in the five boroughs.

Median price: $1.165 million

Image

Credit…Coldwell Banker Warburg

After the coronavirus began to pummel the city in winter 2020, Manhattanites were more likely than other city residents to pick up and move. More people relocated from Manhattan to places like the Hudson Valley and the Hamptons than from any other borough.

But after a monthslong lull in the buying and selling of homes, prices began bouncing back. The median jumped from $999,000 to $1,050,000 between 2019 and 2020, and then up to $1,165,000 at the end of 2021, a two-year gain of 16.6 percent, according to the Miller Samuel data.

Of all the co-ops, condo and townhouses for sale last month in Manhattan, about 290 were listed around that median of $1.17 million, according to a search on StreetEasy.com for apartments between $1 million to $1.2 million. Among them was 400 East 56th Street, No. 23C, a one-bedroom co-op in a postwar doorman building at First Avenue, near Sutton Place.

Image

Credit… Coldwell Banker Warburg

With a combined living and dining room, a galley kitchen with quartz counters and two full baths across 980 square feet, the 23rd-story apartment also features a balcony, which offers views of skyscrapers to the west. Cherry floors, built-in bookshelves and four closets, one of them a walk-in, complete the picture. It is listed at $1.075 million with a monthly maintenance charge of $2,123, which covers some utility costs. Buyers are also on the hook for a flip tax of 2 percent.

Covid has complicated sales of the unit, which hit the market in October 2020 at $1.15 million. One deal was scuttled by a buyer upstate who ultimately decided not to move back to New York. Another fell apart because a city-based buyer decamped for the Hamptons, said Sheila Trichter, the agent with Warburg Realty Partnership who listed the property.

Median price: $941,000

Image

Credit…Russ Ross Photography for the Corcoran Group

Brooklyn is its own superstar when it comes to real estate, often the first choice for prospective buyers looking for an apartment in New York City, but its median over the last few years has still hovered below Manhattan’s.

“It’s been absolutely bananas,” said Bridget Applegate, an agent with the Corcoran Group who specializes in Brooklyn. “On the sales side, it’s been great because you can deliver such wonderful results for your sellers. But then you have the buy side, where it can be frustrating.”

The median leapt from $800,000 to $875,000 between 2019 and 2020, and then up to $941,000 at the end of 2021, a two-year gain of 17.6 percent.

About 170 homes were available around the current median, or between $900,000 and $1 million, according to an online search.

Image

Credit… Russ Ross Photography for the Corcoran Group

Buyers need not head to the farthest reaches of the borough, either. Closer-in brownstone neighborhoods offer numerous options, like 411 15th Street, No. K, a three-bedroom prewar co-op near Eighth Avenue on the border of Park Slope and South Slope.

Listed at $995,000, the apartment contains one bath, a kitchen with stainless-steel appliances and a three-seat breakfast bar, and a washer and dryer. It also has exposed brick walls and beamed ceilings. The third-floor unit is in a building that’s a walk-up and lacks a doorman. There is also no front stoop, in a break with other buildings on the block.

The maintenance fee is $1,030 a month, far less than what a three-bedroom might command in Manhattan, said Ms. Applegate, the listing agent. (There’s also a special assessment fee of $113 a month to replenish the building’s coffers after a solar-panel installation and other projects. It’s scheduled to end in April 2024.)

Median price: $718,000

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Credit…Rise Media

A 109-square-mile patchwork of urban hubs and suburbs, Queens has followed a somewhat similar trajectory as Brooklyn, as both boroughs have benefited from people moving out of Manhattan.

The median rose from $610,000 to $668,000 between 2019 and 2020, and then up to $718,000 at the end of 2021, a two-year gain of 17.7 percent.

Luke Hoback, a salesman with the firm Triplemint who has listings across the city, including a two-bedroom, one-bath co-op on 38th Street in Astoria, said that neighborhood isn’t as quiet as it once was, but still doesn’t match up to some of the most popular Brooklyn neighborhoods.

“I haven’t seen bidding wars yet like in Park Slope or Fort Greene, or lines around the block,” Mr. Hoback said. “But the market took off in 2020, and has not really calmed down since.”

On a recent morning, an online search for apartments between $700,000 and $800,000 revealed about 150 homes for sale across the borough for around the median.

Image

Credit…Rise Media

Mr. Hoback’s co-op, at 24-51 38th Street, No. C5, located in a large complex called Astoria Lights, is listed for $795,000. The unit last sold in 2014 for $476,000 after being renovated by the developer, RockFarmer Properties, which had purchased unsold units and then applied luxury touches.

On the third floor of a walk-up, the co-op has inlaid wood floors, exposed brick walls and Shaker-style kitchen cabinets, plus a distinct dining area. The primary bedroom may be a bit far from the only bath for some buyers’ liking. But the unit also offers three exposures, five closets and a washer and dryer. Maintenance is $914 a month.

RockFarmer also added amenity spaces to the four-building, nearly blocklong complex, including a co-working lounge, a playroom, a roof deck and a bocce court.

Median price: $575,000

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Credit…Modern Angles for Julia B. Fee Sotheby’s International Realty

The rise in prices over the last two years has had a strong affect on the Bronx, which has a growing population of 1.47 million.

The median climbed from $491,450 to $530,000 between 2019 and 2020, and then up to $575,000 at the end of 2021, a two-year gain of 17 percent.

While sellers welcome those gains, many buyers are watching the Federal Reserve, which is expected to boost short-term interest rates in March, making home loans more expensive. Brokers say that has created a “frenzy” in the borough and elsewhere.

“You can feel it in the air,” said Ardit Gjonaj, a salesman with Julia B. Fee Sotheby’s International Realty who works in Westchester and the Bronx. “They want to lock in a rate and buy something now.”

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Credit…Modern Angles for Julia B. Fee Sotheby’s International Realty

In January, a two-bedroom condo in 3536 Cambridge Avenue, No. 7D, in Riverdale, was listed for $595,000. Located in Cambridge Mews, a non-doorman elevator building that opened in 2007, the 802-square-foot condo has a living room with a door to a balcony, a kitchen with cherry cabinets and granite counters, and a primary suite. Also included with the top-floor unit are a washer and dryer and an indoor parking space. Common charges are $408 per month, while taxes are $46 a month. Taxes are abated through 2024.

The apartment, which is in a 31-unit building that is still selling sponsor units, has steadily improved in value. In 2008, it sold for $442,000, and in 2018, for $560,000, before ending up with its current $575,000 price tag. But that appreciation is modest compared to gains in other neighborhoods in the Bronx over the same time frame, Mr. Gjonaj said.

In May of 2021, Mr. Gjonaj sold a four-bedroom duplex condo at 3220 Arlington Avenue in Riverdale for $1.65 million, a record for an apartment in Riverdale in the previous three years, according to multiple listing service data. But in March, he said, a similar apartment in the building will go on the market for $1.9 million.

Median price: $625,000

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Credit…Alex Ligotti

With just under a half-million people, Staten Island is the smallest borough, but it has many of the same big problems with its real estate market as the rest of the city. Home prices in the borough have been rising fast.

The median jumped from $536,617 to $565,000 between 2019 and 2020, and then up to $625,000 at the end of 2021, a two-year gain of 16.5 percent.

A search for homes priced between $600,000 to $700,000 found more than 36 listings.

A three-bedroom house at 916 Drumgoole Road West, in the Annadale neighborhood, was listed for $689,000, and has an accepted offer.

Located on a leafy block by the Korean War Veterans Parkway, which connects to the Outerbridge Crossing, the 1945 house has a living room with a fireplace, a kitchen with island seating and two baths, as well as a patio in its fenced-in backyard. A single-car garage is tucked underneath.

In prepandemic 2019, when the house was last on the market, it sold for $302,500, public records show, less than half of the current asking price. In early February, the sellers of the house had the accepted offer, which was higher than the asking price, said Melinda Micciola, the agent with the firm RE/MAX Elite who was listing the property.

“If this winter is any indication, 2022 is expected to be another whirlwind year,” Ms. Micciola said.

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Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/11/realestate/median-prices-nyc-real-estate.html