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Apple’s profit jumps to $34.6 billion in holiday quarter.

Apple’s profit jumps to $34.6 billion in holiday quarter.

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Credit…Karsten Moran for The New York Times

Kellen Browning

Apple weathered supply chain snarls at the end of 2021 that have tripped up the global electronics market and other industries, announcing on Thursday an 11 percent increase in revenue and a 20 percent jump in profit in its most recent quarter.

Apple, the world’s most valuable public company, beat Wall Street analysts’ expectations, easing fears that the tech industry’s long period of fast growth may be coming to an end. It made $34.6 billion in profit off record revenue of $123.9 billion in the three months ending in December, though its revenue growth continued to slow from 29 percent in the prior quarter.

As usual, the iPhone drove sales for Apple, which briefly crossed $3 trillion in market value earlier in January before sliding back to about $2.6 trillion by Thursday. Sales of iPhones totaled $71.6 billion, up 9 percent from a year earlier. Demand for the newest iPhone 13 had been expected to juice sales, but the company has been warning for months that computer chip shortages and pandemic-related manufacturing problems in Asia were likely to limit supply and hamper revenue.

Tim Cook, Apple’s chief executive, said in October that supply constraints had cost his company $6 billion in revenue during its fall quarter and that he expected even more of a loss in the quarter that includes the holidays.

Apple announced a slate of new hardware products in the fall, including new models of its MacBook Pro laptop computer, AirPods, the iPad and the Apple Watch. It is working on an augmented reality headset that could compete with offerings from companies like Meta, Facebook’s parent, as technology companies increasing jockey for influence in the budding metaverse, a futuristic online universe.

Apple also benefited from strong growth in its services business, which includes its App Store. The services business was up nearly 24 percent in the quarter from a year ago, to $19.5 billion.

Apple also said it planned to use nearly $27 billion of its cash to pay dividends to shareholders.

Apple’s positive results came near the end of a week of wild trading on the stock market that was due in part to fears about how quickly the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates in an attempt to curb inflation. Higher interest rates make riskier investment, like technology stocks, less appealing, adding to concerns that the pandemic-fueled boost to technology companies could soon be ending.

But Microsoft and Tesla, despite dealing with supply chain woes of their own, posted record profits this week and beat industry expectations. Next week, Alphabet, Google’s parent, and Amazon will report their results for the last three months of 2021, providing insight into the health of online advertising and retail.

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Credit…Brendan Mcdermid/Reuters

Marcelo Claure, a top deputy to SoftBank’s founder, Masayoshi Son, will step down as chief operating officer after a dispute over roughly $2 billion in possible compensation.

SoftBank, a Japanese conglomerate that has made huge investments in start-ups including WeWork and Uber, is expected to make an official announcement in the coming days about the resignation of Mr. Claure, who joined SoftBank in 2017 after running the telecom company Sprint, two people familiar with the negotiations said on Thursday.

Michel Combes, a former chief executive of the communications company Altice who serves as president of SoftBank Group International, will assume Mr. Claure’s duties running SoftBank’s international operations, according to one of the people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the information had not been made public.

Mr. Claure’s impending departure was reported earlier by CNBC.

In just a few years, Mr. Claure became a close confidant of Mr. Son and played a singular role at SoftBank, frequently untangling messy investments, scouting out lucrative opportunities and wooing start-up founders.

The disagreement about his compensation in coming years had unfolded in recent months, The New York Times reported in December. Mr. Son and other SoftBank executives balked at Mr. Claure’s request, fearing it would upset investors in Japan, where such big payouts are frowned on. Mr. Claure was already one of the highest-paid executives in the country, making $17 million in 2020.

He privately told people inside and outside the company that he deserved a big payday for various cleanup jobs, including straightening out SoftBank’s investment in WeWork, the office-space leasing giant, which went public in October, as well as the future value he could bring to SoftBank.

Mr. Claure has played a central role at WeWork, taking over as executive chairman after its failed 2019 initial public offering. He negotiated directly with the WeWork co-founder and chief executive Adam Neumann on a severance package that paid Mr. Neumann roughly $180 million to give up his voting control of the company.

Mr. Claure later helped recruit Sandeep Mathrani, a veteran of the real estate business, to be the chief executive of WeWork, which ultimately went public through a special purpose acquisition company. Mr. Claure is expected to leave WeWork’s board as part of his departure from SoftBank, a person familiar with his plans said.

But Mr. Claure will remain on the boards of T-Mobile, which merged with Sprint in 2020, and the company that results from a merger of Grupo Televisa’s television content business and Univision Communications, a deal that’s expected to close soon, according to the two people familiar with the negotiations of his departure. Mr. Claure will also retain his personal stakes in T-Mobile and the merged entity.

Mr. Claure’s personal investments were a source of consternation for some SoftBank executives. Although the conglomerate did clear his transactions, it no longer allows executives to take personal stakes in companies that SoftBank may be interested in ahead of its own investments, unless they agree to sell them back to the company at their initial value.

The details of Mr. Claure’s exit package were not immediately clear. But the two people said he would be permitted to retain his stake in the profits of SoftBank’s $5 billion Latin America Fund, a venture he spearheaded. His stake in potential profits was recently estimated to be worth $300 million to $400 million.

SoftBank, which has a market capitalization of around $71 billion, is facing a drooping stock price. Its shares have fallen roughly 50 percent over the past year as tech stocks have been hit and after a regulatory crackdown in China that has weighed on Chinese stocks. Alibaba, the Chinese online retailing behemoth, is SoftBank’s largest holding.

Matthew Goldstein

The decade-long pursuit of holding Wall Street accountable for trying to manipulate Libor, the once-prominent interest rate benchmark, suffered another blow Thursday when a federal appeals court overturned the convictions of two former Deutsche Bank traders.

A three-judge panel for the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit in New York said federal prosecutors had failed to provide sufficient evidence to support the 2018 convictions of Matthew Connolly and Gavin Black on fraud and conspiracy charges.

The unanimous ruling is the latest in a series of defeats for prosecutors in the United States and Britain, as more than a dozen traders have been acquitted at trial or had their convictions overturned. In 2017, another appellate panel from the Second Circuit tossed out the Libor manipulation convictions of two former Rabobank traders.

The convictions of some traders who took guilty pleas still stand. But the latest ruling is another indication of the difficulty prosecutors have had making the case that traders at a handful of big banks conspired to profit from manipulating Libor, the benchmark once used by banks to set interest rates on an array of loans.

Libor relied on self-reported estimates of borrowing costs from banks, and prosecutors and regulators said traders pushed for those bids to be artificially high or low to make certain financial assets more profitable.

In dismissing the convictions of Mr. Connolly and Mr. Black, the appellate panel said the prosecutors hadn’t proved that the bids submitted by the bank were not rates that it could have borrowed at. “The government failed to show that any of the trader-influenced submissions were false, fraudulent or misleading,” the panel wrote. It added, “The Libor submissions were not false.”

Kenneth Breen, a lawyer for Mr. Connolly, said his client had been “fully exonerated in this contrived case.” Seth Levine, a lawyer for Mr. Black, said his client had committed no crime and was “deeply appreciative” that the appeals panel agreed.

The Justice Department did not immediately comment.

The crackdown on the manipulation of what was formally known as the London Interbank Offered Rate was one of the major criminal prosecutions to arise from the financial crisis of 2008. Big lenders including Deutsche Bank paid billions of dollars in penalties to authorities in the United States and Britain to resolve accusations that their traders sought to rig Libor. Some banks pleaded guilty in deferred prosecution agreements.

The investigations helped prompt international banking officials to phase out Libor as the primary benchmark for setting rates on loans and in derivatives contracts.

The Federal Communications Commission said on Thursday that a state-owned Chinese telecom operator can no longer operate in the United States for national security reasons, as officials in Washington go further to limit the influence of Chinese companies over American consumers, businesses and communications networks.

The agency’s four commissioners voted unanimously to revoke the license for the American subsidiary of China Unicom, saying the company could access or reroute American communications and engage in spycraft. The commission also accused China Unicom, one of China’s largest mobile service providers, of misleading the agency and Congress.

China Unicom said in a statement that it “has a good record of complying with relevant laws and regulations and providing telecommunication services and solutions as a reliable partner of its customers in the past two decades.” It said the F.C.C. hadn’t given it “the required due process” and that it would “proactively protect the rights and interests of the company and its customers.”

The F.C.C.’s decision comes amid persistent tensions between Washington and Beijing over China’s influence in global technology and telecommunications.

Lawmakers and regulators have in recent years focused on the potential threats posted by Chinese phone carriers, which serve a small number of customers in the United States. Lawmakers including Senator Chuck Schumer of New York, a Democrat and the current majority leader, said in a 2019 letter that the F.C.C. should review the ability of China Unicom and China Telecom to operate in the United States. The F.C.C. told China Telecom in October that it could no longer offer service in America.

The New York Stock Exchange has delisted both companies, along with China Mobile, and President Biden also said last year that Americans could not invest in any of the three companies.

The Trump administration also ran a lengthy campaign against the Chinese telecommunications company Huawei, warning allies that they should not use the company’s equipment in their next-generation 5G wireless networks and cutting off access to core components for its smartphones.

In 2020, the White House unsuccessfully tried to force ByteDance, a Chinese internet company, to sell TikTok, the viral video app, to an American owner, also citing national security reasons. Mr. Trump initially appeared to have forced a deal that would see much of the app sold to the enterprise software company Oracle. The sale was never finalized.

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Credit…Billy H.C. Kwok for The New York Times

Price increases on Big Macs, Chicken McNuggets and other food items helped McDonald’s more than offset sharp rises in food and labor costs and propelled the company’s revenues for 2021 to the highest level since 2016.

McDonald’s said in a financial report on Thursday that global revenues topped $23.2 billion last year, a 21 percent jump from 2019 and the highest level since reaching $24.6 billion in 2016. Profit soared 59 percent from a year earlier, to $7.5 billion.

In the United States, comparable McDonald’s restaurant sales in the fourth quarter grew 13.8 percent from a year earlier — the highest increase ever — from a combination of menu price increases, promotions around the McRib and the Crispy Chicken Sandwich, and the company’s digital loyalty program, McDonald’s said.

On a call with Wall Street analysts, Chris Kempczinski, the chief executive and president of McDonald’s, deemed 2021 a “banner year for McDonald’s, despite the continued disruptions” of the pandemic. The company’s stock was down less than 1 percent at the close of trading on Thursday.

Still, executives warned that many of the inflationary pressures that the chain felt in 2021 would persist or even increase in the first half of this year. Last year, the price of food and paper costs grew about 4 percent, while wages increased by percentages in the low teens. Executives said they expected food and paper costs to continue to increase in the first half of 2022 in the United States.

To offset those costs and maintain profit margins, McDonald’s, like other fast-food chains, increased menu prices by about 6 percent last year. While individual franchise owners make decisions about how much prices should increase, McDonald’s executives said there was a lot of discussion and examination around further price increases and the restaurant chain’s desire to still be seen as a good value to its customers.

“That’s where we keep a really close eye as we take pricing, is how customers are reacting, both in terms of customer research and how they view value and whether they’re still coming in from a transaction standpoint,” said Kevin Ozan, the chief financial officer for McDonald’s.

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Credit…Sasha Maslov for The New York Times

Twelve months ago this week, thousands of retail investors banded together to bid up the stocks of a handful of ailing companies, notably the video game retailer GameStop and the movie theater chain AMC. The actions sent those shares soaring, booking huge gains on paper and dealing heavy losses to hedge funds and to other professional investors who were betting against the companies.

On this date last year, Jan. 27, 2021, GameStop hit its record high, closing up nearly 1,800 percent from just a few weeks before. The so-called meme stock phenomenon had been born, and some said it would signal a permanent power shift on Wall Street.

Share price performance since the start of 2021

Robinhood, the commission-free trading app, played a major role in the phenomenon, and it’s still dealing with the fallout, the DealBook newsletter reports. The company has brought millions of new investors into the markets, many attracted by the heady gains made by traders during the frenzy last January.

But the day after GameStop reached its peak, Robinhood abruptly restricted trading in some meme stocks, claiming that it had been forced to do so by a liquidity crunch, Wall Street rules and clearinghouse limits. The restrictions caused the stocks to plunge, prompting lawsuits, congressional hearings and a Securities and Exchange Commission investigation.

“A new generation turned the act of investing into a mass movement,” Robinhood said in a statement on Tuesday about the market events last year. “We never want our customers to be surprised with trading restrictions again,” it added, noting that it had bolstered its risk and compliance infrastructure, among other things. On Wednesday, the S.E.C. chairman, Gary Gensler, issued a brief statement saying the agency was still working on recommendations to make the market “as fair, orderly, and efficient as possible.”

Robinhood said on Thursday that it had lost $3.69 billion last year, including $423 million in the last three months of 2021. Revenue in the quarter was up 14 percent, to $363 million, compared with the same period in 2020. That year it made a profit of $13 million, including $7 million in the last quarter of that year.

“We had a momentous year, nearly doubling the number of customers on the platform and making critical investments in our team and infrastructure to support growth,” Vlad Tenev, the co-founder and chief executive, said in a news release accompanying the financials. “This year, we’ll expand our ecosystem of products.”

Analysts had expected the company to say it lost more than $300 million in the fourth quarter.

Robinhood’s stock dropped 15 percent in aftermarket trading on Thursday, and has lost about two-thirds of its value since it went public this summer, stoking rumors that it could become a takeover target. Lingering issues from the meme stock rally — and related trading restrictions — has marred the outlook, but the company did get good legal news on Thursday before reporting its finances.

This month, a 27-year-old truck driver from Connecticut secured from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority the first arbitration award stemming from Robinhood’s halt of meme stock trading. The $30,000 award is a small sum for Robinhood, which has a market cap of more than $10 billion, but Jorge Altamirano, a lawyer whose firm represented the investor in the arbitration, said he had heard from hundreds of others who said Robinhood’s actions had led to losses that “represented life-changing money for them and their families.”

Robinhood still faces a proposed class-action lawsuit in Florida that consolidates claims from around the country accusing it of antitrust and securities law violations. (On Thursday, the judge dismissed the plaintiffs’ claims of negligence.) The company had won a motion to dismiss the antitrust claims, but the plaintiffs were allowed to file an amended complaint for that portion of the case; a Robinhood spokeswoman said the new filing “doesn’t make their collusion allegations any more plausible.”

The company also may face regulatory scrutiny on payment for order flow, in which the broker sells its trades to big institutions to execute. This key element of its commission-free business model drew attention when trading was halted, raising concerns about conflicts of interest.

Stocks fell for the third straight day on Thursday, continuing the week’s volatile trading, as investors reviewed new data on the state of the economy and priced in their worries about the Federal Reserve’s plan to raise interest rates.

The S&P 500 dipped 0.5 percent, flirting with correction territory for the third day this week. The Nasdaq composite fell 1.4 percent.

A correction, a Wall Street term for a drop of 10 percent from a recent peak, serves as a signal that investors have turned more pessimistic about the market, and though the S&P 500 hasn’t closed a day in correction territory yet, it fell into it in intraday trading on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday before recovering. The index is 9.8 percent below its Jan. 3 high.

Shares of Tesla, one of the largest companies in the S&P 500, which gives greater weight to more valuable companies, fell 11.6 percent on Thursday after the company warned on Wednesday afternoon that supply chain troubles could constrain production its electric vehicles through the coming year.

Stocks rebounded as much as 1.8 percent in early trading after the Commerce Department reported that gross domestic product — the broadest measure of the goods and services produced — expanded 1.7 percent in the last three months of 2021. At an annual rate, the economy expanded at its fastest pace since 1984.

Economists saw several positive signals in the report. A jump in consumer spending, which the government said reflected an increase in spending on services like health care and recreation, was one. Also notable was a buildup in inventories despite the supply chain headwinds that companies have said are holding them back.

“While normally such a large inventory build would be very negative for future growth, in today’s environment it points to an easing of supply-chain snarls and means consumers will have more products to purchase once the winter lull passes,” Kathy Bostjancic, an economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a note.

In a separate report on Thursday, the Labor Department said weekly claims for state unemployment benefits fell last week after three consecutive weeks of increases. There were 260,000 new claims for unemployment insurance, down from 290,000, a dip that might suggest a slowdown of the Omicron variant’s effects on the labor market.

“The downtrend will likely continue given demand for labor remains strong and businesses remain reluctant to lay off workers amid a persistent labor shortage,” Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote in a note.

But stocks have swung between gains and losses each day this week. On Wednesday the major indexes tumbled after the Federal Reserve fueled investor concerns that it may move too quickly as it starts to raise interest rates.

The S&P 500, which is down about 9 percent since the start of the year, is on track for its worst month since the start of the pandemic.

The market volatility is likely to persist beyond the Fed’s first rate increase, which is expected to be in March, as indicators continue to provide reasons for the central bank to move on with its plan to remove support for the economy. The Omicron variant’s effect on supply chain backlogs could lead to a slowdown in 2022, reversing the surge in inventories in the last three months of last year. Also, if rising inflation continues to show no signs of deceleration, the Fed will seem obligated to move quickly on raising interest rates to tame it.

Markets in Europe swung between gains and losses, with the Stoxx Europe 600 ending the day up 0.7 percent. Asian markets closed lower, after Wednesday’s drop on Wall Street.

Shares of Southwest Airlines fell 2 percent after the company said in its quarterly earnings report that it expects to report a loss for the first three months of 2022 amid headwinds caused by the Omicron variant.

After rising through much of the pandemic, the stock market has tumbled in recent weeks. On Thursday, the sell-off pushed the S&P 500 stock index for the third time this week to the cusp of a correction, a Wall Street term for a significant decline from a recent high.

Concerns that the Federal Reserve will move aggressively to remove economic stimulus to fight inflation overcame enthusiasm over the latest government data on the gross domestic product, which showed that the U.S. economy grew 1.7 percent in the final three months of 2021.

A correction is a 10 percent drop in stocks from their most recent high. Since its Jan. 3 peak, the S&P 500 has crossed that threshold in intraday trading on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday, before recovering from the worst of its losses.

The 10 percent trigger for a correction is an arbitrary, round-number threshold. But it serves as a signal that investors have turned pointedly more pessimistic about the market. That is particularly the case for technology stocks, with the Nasdaq composite index down about 16.5 percent from its most recent peak, in mid-November.

If the market’s decline continues, it will be the 11th correction in the S&P 500 since the turn of the century, according to Yardeni Research. Of the 10 corrections so far, three turned into bear markets, defined as a more severe decline of at least 20 percent:

Not necessarily.

Some corrections don’t last very long, like the one in early 2018, which spanned less than two weeks. Others can be more drawn out, generally when they develop into full-fledged bear markets.

That said, the previous bear market, at the start of the pandemic, was severe but relatively short — it erased just about 33 percent in value from stocks in just over a month. Less than three months later, stocks had regained their previous peak.

Ben Casselman

Here’s a notable fact about the U.S. economic recovery: Inflation-adjusted output last quarter was just 1 percent below where it would have been if the pandemic had never happened.

Here’s another one: Ignoring inflation, output is 1.7 percent above where it would have been absent the coronavirus.

Those two facts help explain the confusing, contradictory nature of the late-pandemic economy. On the one hand, the recovery has been remarkably swift by both historical standards and compared with what forecasters expected when the crisis began. On the other hand, a surprising surge in inflation is preventing the economy from rebounding more quickly, or feeling more normal. And to some extent, the same forces — the remarkable levels of aid provided by the government, and the unusual nature of the pandemic recession itself — are responsible for both trends.

The chart below helps tell the story. Inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (the dark blue line) has rebounded sharply since the early months of the crisis, but has yet to return to its prepandemic trend. That might not seem too surprising; businesses have mostly reopened, but the pandemic is still restraining daily activities, at least for many people.

But the second line on the chart, in light blue, shows that the story is a bit more complicated than that. In non-inflation-adjusted terms, gross domestic product — in simple terms, everything we make and spend in a given three-month period — has surged significantly beyond its pre-Covid trend. In dollar terms, we are producing and spending as much as ever. But because of inflation, those dollars are worth less than before.

G.D.P. vs prepandemic trend

In nominal terms, economic output has surpassed its prepandemic trend. But adjusted for inflation, it still hasn’t caught up.

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G.D.P. vs prepandemic trend

In nominal terms, economic output has surpassed its prepandemic trend. But adjusted for inflation, it still hasn’t caught up.

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The basic story here is simple. The reopening of the economy after the initial lockdowns brought a surge in demand, which was bolstered by the trillions of dollars in aid that the federal government provided to households and businesses. But supply chain bottlenecks, labor shortages and other issues meant that businesses could not fully meet that demand. Strong demand plus limited supply is a recipe for inflation.

What happens next is less clear. If companies are able to hire more workers and pick up production, then supply will be able to meet demand. In that scenario, the dark blue line would start to look more like the light blue one — growth would be strong in terms of real output, not just nominal dollars.

But if supplies can’t rebound, then either we will continue to burn off excess demand in the form of inflation, or demand will have to fall. Either scenario would make it harder for the economy to rebound fully from the shock of the pandemic.

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Credit…Stefani Reynolds for The New York Times

Niraj Chokshi

Southwest Airlines on Thursday reported a $68 million profit for the final three months of last year as it struggled to shake off setbacks caused by the Omicron variant of the coronavirus, which has delayed the travel recovery and is expected to drag the airline to a loss in the first three months of this year.

Now, with cases falling, “the worst appears to be behind us,” Bob Jordan, Southwest’s executive vice president, who will take over as chief executive next week, said in a statement.

The company had reported quarterly profits earlier last year, but the fourth quarter was the first in two years in which Southwest achieved a profit without the support of government aid. The airline received $2.7 billion in federal grants to help pay workers in 2021, helping to lift it to a full-year profit of $977 million.

Despite the quarterly profit, Omicron dealt Southwest and its peers a blow at the end of last year and into this one, as high rates of workers calling in sick, coupled with bad weather, forced carriers to cancel tens of thousands of flights over the Christmas and New Year’s holidays.

Southwest was particularly hard hit, canceling thousands of flights, or about 9 percent of scheduled trips, in the two weeks starting Dec. 25. Only one other U.S. carrier issued more cancellations: SkyWest Airlines, which operates regional flights for several other carriers.

The problems continued this month. Southwest said it has canceled more than 5,600 flights in January, taking a $50 million toll on operating revenue for the month. Omicron also weighed on ticket sales and led to an increase in customer cancellations. The airline now expects to report a loss for the first three months of 2022.

“Despite our fourth-quarter profit, we had a challenging start to 2022 as we continue to recover from the pandemic,” Mr. Jordan said. He added that the airline had also pared flight plans for the first half of the year to “provide additional buffer to the operation.”

Still, Southwest expects operating revenue in the first quarter of 2022 to be down only about 10 to 15 percent from the same period in 2019. The airline also said it hoped to restore most of its route network and return to typical productivity levels by the end of next year.

Despite the challenges, Southwest hired about 5,000 people last year and expects to hire an additional 8,000 this year as travel continues to recover. To remain competitive, the airline raised its minimum wage to $15 an hour on Aug. 1. It is in discussions with its unions for another increase to $17.

Southwest was the only one of the nation’s largest airlines to report a profit for the final quarter of last year. Delta Air Lines lost more than $400 million, United Airlines nearly $650 million and American Airlines more than $930 million. On Thursday, Alaska Airlines said it had eked out an $18 million profit for the quarter, while JetBlue Airways reported a $129 million loss.

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Credit…Felix Schmitt for The New York Times

Ben Dooley

Nissan, Renault and Mitsubishi announced on Thursday that they would band together to make substantial new investments in electric cars as they seek to leverage their sometimes fractious alliance to compete in the global market for battery-powered vehicles.

Speaking from France and Japan during a rare joint presentation, the alliance’s top executives said the companies had moved past the discord sowed by the 2018 ouster of their former chief executive, Carlos Ghosn, which badly frayed their relations and plunged them into disarray.

The alliance — collectively the world’s third-largest automaker — has no choice but to band more closely together as competitors sprint ahead on electric cars. The three companies are leaning into the advantages conferred by their combined scale as they seek to bounce back from the pandemic’s hit to global auto sales and to compete against rivals that have more aggressively pursued the battery-vehicle market, including upstarts like Tesla and traditional rivals like Volkswagen.

Looking forward, the three companies in the alliance unveiled a plan to invest almost $26 billion into the joint development of new battery electric vehicles, with plans to add 35 models to their lineups by 2030.

The companies also said they were aiming for significant savings in overall production costs by increasing the number of components that their various cars have in common, aiming to cut battery costs by 65 percent by 2028.

The fall of Mr. Ghosn, who fled Japan after being arrested on charges of financial wrongdoing during his time at the head of the alliance, was widely seen as a result of a power struggle between Renault and Nissan that some feared could lead to a breakup that they could ill afford.

That has only become more true since the pandemic: Both companies have taken a significant hit from plummeting sales and tightened supply chains, which have limited production.

“We have gone through, the three companies, a very strong crisis in the past few years, and officially we were not brilliant in terms of competitiveness,” said Jean-Dominique Senard, the chairman of the alliance.

But the companies have hammered out their differences, he said, putting an end to years of bitter division: “We are demonstrating clearly that our ties are extremely strong, and I think today are in effect unbreakable.”

The investments in battery vehicles will significantly expand the alliance’s offerings, but the group still lags behind its competitors in its commitment to the vehicles, despite grabbing an early lead in the market with the Nissan Leaf, which was introduced in 2010.

Competitors like General Motors have said they intend to eliminate combustion engines from their lineups during the 2030s, but the alliance is hedging its bets. Nissan, for example, has put forward a much more modest goal: aiming for electric cars to make up 40 percent of its U.S. sales by 2030.

The executives attributed the slower adoption to the alliance’s global market presence, especially in developing countries where high prices for electric cars and less reliable power grids make consumers reluctant to make the switch.

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Talmon Joseph Smith

Continuing to rebound from the shocks of the pandemic, the nation’s economy expanded by 1.7 percent in the final three months of 2021, the Commerce Department announced Thursday.

The figure, which was adjusted for inflation, reflects the growth in gross domestic product — the broadest measure of the goods and services produced. On an annualized basis, the increase for the quarter was 6.9 percent.

For the full year, the economic expansion was 5.7 percent, the biggest since 1984 — an impressive feat, though one that also reflects the depth of the damage inflicted by the coronavirus the year before.

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The fourth quarter was, to some extent, a respite between coronavirus waves. It began as the Delta variant was easing, and the impact of Omicron began to be felt only in the final weeks. Economists expect Omicron to be a drag on the economy in January and much of February. But they say activity should normalize as the variant fades and spring approaches.

The strong fourth-quarter growth was driven in part by consumer spending, which “primarily reflected an increase in services, led by health care, recreation and transportation,” the Commerce Department said. Private investment and an increase in inventories were also major factors.

“This is really strong data,” said Jane Oates, an assistant labor secretary during the Obama administration and the president of Working Nation, a nonprofit group focused on employment issues. The inventory increase, she said, “shows at least incremental improvement in supply chains.”

Consumer spending and private investment were revived after the pandemic’s initial blow as a result of vaccination efforts, cheap credit conditions and additional rounds of federal aid to households and businesses. The labor market has recovered almost 19 million of the 22 million jobs lost near the peak of virus-induced suspensions in activity.

The initial momentum provided by government stimulus and the post-vaccine resurgence in many sectors is projected to fade further, and the Federal Reserve is planning to use its policy tools in the coming months to rein in inflation, which in December hit its highest level in 40 years.

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trillion

Level the economy was on track

to reach before the pandemic.

15

Trendline of

1st qtr. 2015 to

4th qtr. 2019

10

Gross domestic product

Adjusted for inflation and

seasonality, at annual rates

5

’15

’16

’17

’18

’19

’20

’21

Level the

economy was

on track to

reach before

the pandemic.

$20

trillion

15

Trendline of

1st qtr. 2015 to

4th qtr. 2019

Gross domestic product

Adjusted for inflation and

seasonality, at annual rates

10

5

’15

’16

’17

’18

’19

’20

’21

“Fiscal and monetary policy committed to supporting the economy aggressively during the pandemic, and it worked,” said Julia Coronado, a former Federal Reserve economist and a professor of finance at the University of Texas at Austin. “Not only did we meet the goal of shortening the recession,” she said, “we exceeded all expectations” on the speed of re-employment.

As recently as last February, the Congressional Budget Office predicted that it might take until 2024 to reach the current unemployment rate of 3.9 percent, down from a peak of 14.7 percent in April 2020.

President Biden hailed the year’s economic growth and job gains as evidence that his policies were yielding substantial fruit. “The G.D.P. numbers for my first year show that we are finally building an American economy for the 21st century,” he said in a statement on Thursday.

But the economic recovery has been overshadowed recently by the highest rates in inflation since 1982. Consumer price increases — which reached 7 percent in the year through December — began to intensify in the spring when demand overstrained supply networks already discombobulated by the pandemic.

Import prices, for instance, were 10.4 percent higher in December than a year earlier, according to the Labor Department. Many businesses, large and small, are preparing for such supply chain issues to stretch beyond the summer — an unwelcome sign for workers whose wages have grown at the fastest pace in decades, while their purchasing power as consumers has been dented by costlier goods.

Goods

+15%

+10

Percent change in

gross domestic product

+

5

Since the last quarter

before the pandemic

Services

5

–10

–15

2020

2021

Goods

+15%

Percent change in

gross domestic product

+10

Since the last quarter before

the pandemic

+

5

Services

5

–10

–15

Q2

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

Q3

Q4

2021 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

A Gallup survey conducted this month found that Americans view the economy more negatively than positively — with only 29 percent saying that the economy is improving, while 67 percent believe it is getting worse.

Still, 72 percent say it is a good time to find a quality job.

“It’s all about what you prioritize,” said Allison Schrager, an economist and senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, a conservative think tank. Policymakers in Washington decided to err on the side of delivering too much pandemic aid rather than too little — and Ms. Schrager is among the analysts who say the trade-offs of that decision are becoming evident. If there had been less stimulus, she said, “inflation wouldn’t be as bad as it is.”

At a news conference on Wednesday, Jerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, conceded that “bottlenecks and supply constraints are limiting how quickly production can respond to higher demand in the near term” and that “these problems have been larger and longer lasting than anticipated.”

As analysts mull the direction and degree of price increases this year, many see the spring months as a crucial pivot point, said Ellen Zentner, a managing director and the chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley. This is partly because the Consumer Price Index reports in March and April of this year will provide the first relatively stable year-over-year comparisons that experts will have seen in three years: 2020 data was juxtaposed with the prepandemic normal of 2019; reports in 2021 after the economy reopened were measured against the abnormal, partly depressed environment of the vaccine-less economy in 2020.

“The hope is that changes as we’re getting into the second quarter,” Ms. Zentner said. And that high-single-digit inflation “doesn’t drag on further into the year.”

During quarterly earnings calls, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America, which serve a combined 140 million households, have reported that families’ finances are technically better off than before the pandemic. Bank of America said its customers spent a record $3.8 trillion in 2021, a 24 percent jump from 2019 levels. But analysts note that dwindling savings and continuing price increases — along with any new coronavirus variants — could curb consumption.

The report on Thursday indicated that the cash reserves many Americans were able to build up during the pandemic continued to dwindle: Real disposable personal income decreased by 5.8 percent in the fourth quarter, and the personal saving rate — the percentage of overall disposable income that goes into savings each month — was 7.4 percent, compared with 9.5 percent in the third quarter.

Although factory production was up 3.5 percent in December from a year earlier, manufacturing output fell by 0.3 percent last month, a weaker showing than most forecasts. The spread of the Omicron variant appears to be extending manufacturers’ struggles with finding consistent labor, as infections drive absences. With businesses outbidding one another to get to the front of the line for supply parts that make up their finished products, materials shortages for hard-to-source components, such as computer chips, also remain a headache.

Core capital goods shipments — a popular gauge of business investment in U.S. equipment spending — were up a strong 1.3 percent in the fourth quarter, yet flat in December. Some industry analysts are emphasizing the broader quarterly trend as a sign that the private sector believes strong growth will persist through both inflationary pressures and speed bumps associated with coronavirus variants.

The average business owner “sees a very strong environment right now,” said Oren Klachkin, the lead economist for U.S. industry and regional research at Oxford Economics. “They want to ramp up investment because they want to meet that demand — and they have every reason to invest.”

The International Monetary Fund, citing tighter Fed policy and an anticipated halt to any further stimulus spending by Congress, this week reduced its U.S. growth forecast for 2022 by 1.2 percentage points, to 4 percent — though that increase would still outpace the annual average from 2010 to 2019.

Ben Casselman contributed reporting.

Source: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/01/27/business/stock-market-economy-news