Select Page

Jobless Claims Drop, Fueling Optimism in an Economic Rebound: Live Updates

Jobless Claims Drop, Fueling Optimism in an Economic Rebound: Live Updates




Diners at a Minneapolis restaurant. Business restrictions across the country have begun to lift and vaccinations have picked up, fueling hopes of an economic resurgence.
Credit…Liam Doyle for The New York Times

New claims for unemployment dropped last week, the government reported on Thursday, fueling renewed optimism in the staying power of the economic rebound.

A total of 709,000 workers filed first-time claims for state unemployment benefits in the week that ended March 6, 47,000 lower than the week before, the Labor Department said. In addition, there were 478,000 new claims for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance, a federal program covering freelancers, part-timers and others who do not routinely qualify for state benefits, an increase of 42,000.

Neither figure is seasonally adjusted. On a seasonally adjusted basis, new state claims totaled 712,000.

New claims for state unemployment benefits had been drifting lower in recent weeks, as restrictions across the country have begun to lift — a trend that many economists expect will continue.

“The pieces are falling into place for a more substantial improvement in the labor market,” said Sarah House, a senior economist at Wells Fargo.

The Labor Department reported last week that employers added 379,000 jobs in February, an unexpectedly robust number that reinforced confidence in the strength of the economic recovery roughly one year into the pandemic-induced downturn. The gains came largely in the hard-hit leisure and hospitality industries.

Although initial jobless claims have fallen significantly since last spring, the economy has a long way to go until it reaches pre-pandemic levels. All told, there are about 9.5 million fewer jobs than there were a year ago. More than four million people have dropped out of the labor force, a group not included in the most widely cited unemployment rate.

“We’re still not yet at the phase of the recovery where we’re seeing the floodgates open up,” said Daniel Zhao, senior economist with the career site Glassdoor. “I don’t think it’s quite fair to call what we’ve done so far ‘reopening’ because there’s still a lot of people who are out of work and a lot of businesses that are closed.”

But as vaccination rates climb, the weather warms up and more government help arrives, via President Biden’s $1.9 trillion relief plan, many economists expect a vibrant economic resurgence.

“We’re seeing a huge pickup in hiring,” said Julia Pollak, a labor economist with the employment site ZipRecruiter. “I think for many employers, it’s becoming real, and for many job seekers it is as well.”

The Biden administration will not enforce two Trump-era rules involving retirement plans, including one that effectively discouraged administrators for those plans from choosing investments based on environmental, social and governance considerations, the Labor Department said on Wednesday.

The second rule required retirement plan administrators — who serve as fiduciaries and must act solely in the interest of plan participants — to consider a complex list of principles before casting proxy votes on shareholder proposals, which may have discouraged plans from voting altogether. If fiduciaries decided to vote, and the rule makes clear that isn’t required, they must only support causes and goals in the plan’s financial interest.

Both regulations, which were finalized by the Trump administration late last year and took effect in January, will be rewritten and then formally proposed in the months ahead.

“These rules have created a perception that fiduciaries are at risk if they include any environmental, social and governance factors in the financial evaluation of plan investments,” Ali Khawar, principal deputy assistant secretary at the department’s Employee Benefits Security Administration, said in a statement. The rules also made it seem as if retirement plan sponsors had to have “special justifications for even ordinary exercises of shareholder rights,” Mr. Khawar said.

The Labor Department had already met with a variety of stakeholders on these issues, including asset managers, labor groups, plan sponsors and consumer advocates, Mr. Khawar said in an interview. And coming away from those meetings, he said it appeared that the rules had a “chilling effect” on using so-called E.S.G. factors in investment decisions and exercising their shareholder rights.

“In a number of instances, even when they were engaged in the kinds of activities that these rules were supposed to explicitly allow, there was a tremendous concern whether they can engage in those activities,” he said.

The agency plans to continue these discussions as it formulates new rules, and will update its website as more information became available, Mr. Khawar said.

Curbside delivery at a Dick’s Sporting Goods store in Yonkers, N.Y. “The team spun up curbside pickup for the first time in two days,” said Lauren Hobart, the retailer’s chief executive.
Credit…Amr Alfiky/The New York Times

Lauren Hobart moved up from president to chief executive of Dick’s Sporting Goods last month, becoming only the third leader in the retailer’s 70-plus-year history. Ed Stack, the son of the company’s founder, stepped down after 36 years as chief executive and is now executive chairman.

Ms. Hobart spoke with the DealBook newsletter in her first interview since taking the top job.

“The pandemic changed us radically and I think for the better, Ms. Hobart said.

The company had already moved its digital operations in-house, which allowed it to shift quickly as its stores were forced to close. “The team spun up curbside pickup for the first time in two days,” she said. “It was a project that would have taken 12 to 18 months before.”

An uptick in demand for golf equipment and at-home fitness gear has bolstered the company’s earnings, with sales last year up 10 percent.

Female shoppers were also a part of that growth, and a booming part of the sportswear business in general. This week, Dick’s started a campaign featuring women in sports — and in business. The retailer plans to donate 100,000 sports bras to female athletes in need over the next 18 months. It has worked with its vendors to make sure it has products made specifically for women — rather than the “pink it and shrink it” approach athletic brands took to female-oriented gear in the past. As part of those efforts, Dick’s has worked with Brooks Running on an “Empower Her” shoe collection.

Ms. Hobart, who joined Dick’s in 2011 as chief marketing officer, and other women who serve as managers at the company are featured in the campaign.

“We really wanted to celebrate women,” Ms. Hobart said, “and talk about the fact the leadership team at Dick’s really is passionate about improving sports for girls and women — and that we represent the people that we’re advocating.”

Predicting the path ahead after a year unlike any other is difficult, Ms. Hobart acknowledged. “Forecasting for 2021, I think, for all business, is very challenging,” she said.

The company issued somewhat muted sales guidance to investors this week, but Ms. Hobart expects that some pandemic trends, like the rising interest in golf, will stick. “It’s so uncertain to know how the consumer is going to respond,” she said. “We’re just taking one day at a time.”

A screen shot from a new ad campaign to alleviate skepticism of Covid-19 vaccines recruited four former presidents and their spouses, George W. and Laura Bush among them.
Credit…Ad Council

A sprawling marketing campaign to raise awareness of Covid-19 vaccines recruited four former presidents — Barack Obama, George W. Bush, Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter — along with their spouses, Michelle Obama, Laura Bush, Hillary Clinton and Rosalynn Carter.

Missing from the lineup of new public service announcements: former President Donald J. Trump and his wife, Melania Trump.

The ads, released on Thursday by the nonprofit advertising group Ad Council and a coalition of experts known as the Covid Collaborative, are part of a $52 million campaign to combat vaccine skepticism that already includes more than 300 companies, community groups and public figures. In mid-February, the Ad Council said it had added new partners to the effort, including Amazon, Apple, ViacomCBS and Wells Fargo.

Two spots feature the former presidents and their spouses talking about the prepandemic moments they miss and the importance of vaccination.

Asked whether Mr. Trump declined to participate in the campaign, an Ad Council spokeswoman, Ellyn Fisher, said that the project with the former presidents began in December, before Mr. Trump left office.

“Some of the ads, for example — the one featuring former presidents Obama, Bush and Clinton together, were shot at the inauguration, which President Trump didn’t attend,” she said, adding that Ad Council learned only last week that Mr. Trump had received a vaccine.

Mr. Trump did not expressly encourage Americans to get vaccinated until late last month, when he said at the Conservative Political Action Conference conference in Orlando, Fla., that “everyone should go get your shot.”

On Wednesday, he released a statement claiming credit for the vaccine, saying that “if I wasn’t President, you wouldn’t be getting that beautiful ‘shot’ for 5 years, at best, and probably wouldn’t be getting it at all. I hope everyone remembers!”

Mr. Trump has continued to refer to Covid-19 as “the China Virus,” rhetoric that has been linked to a surge in anti-Asian violence and harassment, according to community leaders.

Senator Amy Klobuchar is the chairwoman of the Senate antitrust subcommittee, which will examine modernizing century-old antitrust laws.
Credit…Pool photo by Greg Nash

Congress will take up antitrust issues in full force this week, holding the first in a series of hearings about the power of Big Tech and corporate concentration across the economy.

At 10 a.m. on Thursday, the Senate antitrust subcommittee will examine modernizing century-old antitrust laws. Senator Amy Klobuchar, the Minnesota Democrat and chairwoman of the subcommittee, is expected to start with a broad survey of economic problems. The committee has called witnesses from academia, a corporate law firm and nonprofit think tanks.

“I want to start big and talk about consolidation across so many industries,” Ms. Klobuchar said in an interview. She said she also planned to outline specific problems, including the behavior of tech companies like Google and Facebook, which have gobbled up competition and have also threatened to leave Australia because of regulations that would force them to pay publishers more for their content.

“Tech competition disrupts things and we don’t want less disruption, we want more disruption and disrupters,” Ms. Klobuchar said.

On Friday, the House antitrust subcommittee will hold a hearing on how online platforms have harmed journalism and newsrooms. Witnesses in that hearing will include leading lobbyists for the broadcast and newspaper industries as well as Brad Smith, the president of Microsoft.

Representative David Cicilline, the Democratic chairman of the committee, and Representative Ken Buck, the Republican ranking member, joined numerous other lawmakers on Wednesday in introducing a bill called the Journalism Competition and Preservation Act. The bill would allow small news organizations to band together to collectively bargain for fees from online platforms that host their news. A similar law in Australia recently set off a battle between the Australian government and Google and Facebook.

Mr. Smith of Microsoft has recently come to support publishers who want to negotiate as a group. He said recently that the spate of disinformation around the U.S. election and subsequent Capitol riots highlighted the importance of preserving news organizations — particularly local news — while misinformation is spread via online platforms like Facebook and Google.

A prototype of General Electric’s Haliade-X wind turbine in Rotterdam, the Netherlands. Its blades will be manufactured in England, the company said.
Credit…Ilvy Njiokiktjien for The New York Times

General Electric said it planned to build the football-field-long blades for its new offshore wind turbines at a plant in northeastern England.

The new factory will be in the Teesside region, an area that was recently named by the British government as a so-called freeport, with tax benefits and other business incentives. The plant will open in 2023 and create 750 jobs, according to a statement from G.E. late Wednesday.

Ben Houchen, the Tees Valley mayor, is working to rejuvenate the region by attracting investment in clean energy, including offshore wind power and a carbon-capture development. The new plant will produce blades for a large wind farm called Dogger Bank offshore in the North Sea.

Although Britain has become the world’s largest market for offshore wind turbines, some critics point out that most of the turbines are manufactured elsewhere, including Denmark and Germany. Blade factories are eagerly sought by local authorities, because they employ large numbers of people.

The blades, which will be about 350 feet long, will go on top of G.E.’s Haliade-X turbines, a prototype of which is being tested in Rotterdam, the Netherlands. The new turbine has already set off a race among manufacturers to build bigger machines.

Adam Aron, AMC’s chief, said the distribution of vaccines would be the company’s “real salvation.”
Credit…Cristobal Herrera-Ulashkevich/EPA, via Shutterstock

Adam Aron, the chief executive and president of AMC Entertainment, the world’s largest theater chain, called the past year “the most challenging market conditions in the 100-year history of the company,” when presenting year-end earnings on Wednesday that included the loss of $4.6 billion.

Yet Mr. Aron struck an optimistic note about his company’s outlook for the year ahead based on the reduction in coronavirus cases, the reopening of theaters and the slate of blockbuster movies set to arrive beginning in May. He pointed specifically to Disney’s “Black Widow,” Universal’s “F9” and Paramount’s “Top Gun: Maverick.”

He added that “the real salvation” of AMC would be the jump in vaccinations both domestically and around the world.

“The most important person in the entire movie business,” Mr. Aron said, is not employed by “a studio nor any movie theater circuit,” but is Albert Bourla, the chief executive of Pfizer.

“He and his colleagues and those of Moderna and J&J have given us our newfound fortitude,” he added.

AMC lost $946 million in the quarter ending Dec. 31, even as theaters started to open back up after being closed for months.

At year’s end, 78 percent of the company’s U.S. operations had reopened with limited seating capacity. Internationally, 90 percent of the company’s theaters resumed operating in October, only to have to close again in the fourth quarter owing to a resurgence of the virus.

AMC said it shut down 60 low-performing theaters in 2020: 48 in the United States and 12 internationally. It also spent the year renegotiating its terms with studios, specifically Universal and Warner Bros., as they sent more films to their streaming platforms with theaters closed.

“Over the past several years, AMC has indicated that it is willing to be the most experimental movie circuit around with respect to window strategies,” Mr. Aron said, adding that the deals have to be good for AMC shareholders. “I continue to be optimistic that having been partners for a century, we can adjust our business relationships so they support both streaming and theatrical releases and do so, not at our expense.”


By: Ella Koeze·Data delayed at least 15 minutes·Source: FactSet

Wall Street’s rally extended to a third day on Thursday, with the S&P 500 returning to record territory, as large technology stocks rebounded from their recent slump.

The S&P 500 rose more than 1 percent, climbing above its Feb. 12 closing high, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq composite rose more than 2 percent. Thursday’s rally also included companies that will benefit from the speedy rollout of vaccines and reopening of the economy, and energy and raw materials companies that will profit from a rebound in growth.

Stocks have been carried higher this week in part as investors were relieved by relatively modest inflation data in the United States, and as the European Central Bank said it would step up its purchases of government and corporate bonds in the months to come in an effort to make sure that credit in the eurozone remained cheap.

Both developments have helped stabilize yields on government bonds. Rates had been spiking since the start of the year, worrying stock investors and threatening to increase borrowing costs for consumers and companies. The yield on 10-Year Treasury notes declined slightly to 1.48 percent on Thursday.

Also raising the outlook for growth, President Biden is scheduled to sign a nearly $1.9 trillion pandemic relief bill on Friday.

The enormous piece of spending, one of the largest infusions of federal aid since the Great Depression, will provide another round of direct payments to millions of American, extend federal jobless benefits and provide millions for small businesses, state and local governments and schools.

And, new claims for unemployment insurance dropped last week, the government reported on Thursday. A total of 709,000 workers filed first-time claims for state unemployment benefits in the week that ended March 6, 47,000 lower than the week before, the Labor Department said.

European markets were mostly higher, with the Stoxx Europe 600 up 0.4 percent. Asian markets ended the day higher, with the Nikkei in Japan up 0.6 percent and the Shanghai Composite in China gaining 2.4 percent.

Oil futures rose. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, gained 1.7 percent, to about $65.53 a barrel.





Source link